As NFL Week 16 approaches, fans and bettors alike are gearing up for exciting matchups and potential payouts. This week, several players stand out as strong candidates for anytime touchdown bets, supported by insights from the PFF Player Prop Tool. This tool, available to PFF+ members, utilizes predictive analytics and matchup context to identify high-probability betting opportunities.
Chase Brown: A Dual Threat for the Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals running back Chase Brown is currently ranked fifth among running backs in target rate. He faces a Miami Dolphins defense that allows the 29th-most receiving yards per pass play to running backs. Given his role as the primary red-zone runner for Cincinnati and the team being a 4.5-point favorite, the conditions are ripe for Brown to score. His ability to contribute both on the ground and through the air makes him a compelling choice for an anytime touchdown.
Jahmyr Gibbs: Capitalizing on Blitzes
Another player to watch is Jahmyr Gibbs of the Detroit Lions. Gibbs excels in both rushing and receiving, currently standing second among running backs in forced missed tackles. This week, he goes up against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense rated third in missed tackle rate. Pittsburgh’s blitz-heavy strategy plays to Gibbs’ advantage, as he leads all running backs in target rate against blitzes. Positioned as a primary target, especially near the goal line, Gibbs is well-situated to find the end zone.
Tetairoa McMillan: A Go-To Option for the Panthers
For the Carolina Panthers, Tetairoa McMillan has emerged as a key target for quarterback Bryce Young. McMillan has garnered nearly a 27% target share when defenses blitz, a trend likely to continue against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that blitzes at the third-highest rate in the NFL. With the Buccaneers also allowing single coverage at a top-10 rate, McMillan commands an impressive 48% target share in those situations. This positions him as a vital player in a must-win game for Carolina.
By utilizing the PFF Player Prop Tool, bettors can make more informed decisions regarding their wagers. The tool highlights crucial metrics, including hit rates and usage trends, providing a comprehensive view of which players are primed for success in scoring touchdowns.
As Week 16 unfolds, these players present intriguing options for those looking to place anytime touchdown bets. With the blend of analytics and matchup analysis, the opportunity to make more confident betting choices has never been more accessible.
